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Housing Analysts Predict the Bottom Is Near

The bottom of the housing decline is near, predicted analysts and home builders attending the National Association of Home Builders’ semiannual Construction Forecast Conference last week.

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s, facetiously picked a date when home prices would stop falling: Dec. 15, 2009. Other observers weren’t so precise, but they did generally agree that the federal government’s efforts to shore up the market would take effect by the end of 2009 or early in 2010.

(Remember, the Denver market is ahead of the country, so I believe we’re in the bottom right now and will be turning upwards soon…barring anymore significant damage in the stock market.)

Analysts also predicted that consumers will spend less on remodeling. Eric Belsky, executive director at Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies, predicted that spending on remodeling would fall 12.3 percent by the end of this year compared to last.

Analysts project that the credit crisis will loosen, although people with blemished credit records may continue to have trouble getting mortgage loans.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, June Fletcher (04/24/2009)